Moment of Truth

Top Performing Decklists

Deck Creator Record Best Finish
Azorius Omniscience platinum-mythic rank player 6-0 1st in Traditional Standard Ranked Decklists: April 14, 2025
Azorius Omniscience caronte1991 5-0 1st in MTGO Standard League #8949
Azorius Omniscience jussupinator 5-0 1st in MTGO Standard League #9097
Azorius Omniscience jussupinator 5-0 1st in MTGO Standard League #9097
Azorius Omniscience lippialessandro 5-0 1st in MTGO Standard League #9097

Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)

Win Rate Impact
+0.7%
vs average deck
Top Table Win Rate
80.7%
placement-weighted
Meta Trend
+4.3%
recent vs earlier
Sample Size
36
decks
Tournament Results
11
1st place
19
top 8
Average Copies
4.0
per deck

Meta Performance Analysis

Moment of Truth ranks #154 out of approximately 409 cards in raw efficiency (top 38%).

Game Impact Factor
79.69
How much this card influences game outcomes
Color Differential
+3.84%

Blue average: 71.5%

Performance compared to other Blue cards

Based on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Moment of Truth is a decent card with average performance in the current meta.

Recommended number of copies: 1

Win Rate Timeline

Card Efficiency Analysis

Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
37.8
Win percentage points per mana invested
Relative Efficiency
0.51x
Compared to average cards of same mana value

Performance Efficiency: 19.93 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)

At 2 mana, the average win rate in the format is 74.5%. Moment of Truth has a win rate of 75.5%, making it 1.3% better than other 2-mana cards.

Top Performing Partners

Card Name Type Deck Count Win Rate 1st Places
Voice of Victory Creature — Human Bard 10 84.2% 5
Roiling Dragonstorm Enchantment 14 81.9% 6
Marang River Regent Creature — Dragon 16 79.4% 6
Jeskai Revelation Instant 24 75.2% 7
Change the Equation Instant 12 67.5% 4
Devout Decree Sorcery 16 62.3% 6
Haunt the Network Sorcery 91 57.7% 19
Loran's Escape Instant 21 56.9% 3
Beza, the Bounding Spring Legendary Creature — Elemental Elk 49 56.9% 8
Silent Hallcreeper Enchantment Creature — Horror 12 56.5% 2

Card Synergy Analysis

Cards that perform better with Moment of Truth than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.

Card Name Type Mana Decks Win Rate Together Win Rate Apart Synergy Score
Defabricate Instant 2 5 90.9% 83.2% +7.7%
Change the Equation Instant 2 9 81.0% 74.0% +7.0%
Season of Weaving Sorcery 6 5 86.7% 81.1% +5.6%
Roiling Dragonstorm Enchantment 2 14 79.8% 74.8% +5.0%
Voice of Victory Creature — Human Bard 2 10 82.3% 78.2% +4.0%
Picklock Prankster Creature — Faerie Rogue // Instant — Adventure 2 5 80.0% 77.8% +2.2%
This Town Ain't Big Enough Instant 5 8 76.7% 74.6% +2.1%
Riptide Gearhulk Artifact Creature — Construct 5 17 74.7% 73.3% +1.4%
Devout Decree Sorcery 2 11 80.0% 78.6% +1.4%
Temporary Lockdown Enchantment 3 35 75.7% 74.3% +1.4%

Top Archetypes

Archetype Deck Count % of Archetype Win Rate
Azorius Tempo 366 92.0% 42.3%
Azorius Omniscience 339 98.5% 50.5%
Izzet Hellraiser 16 100.0% 24.9%
Esper Oculus 5 35.7% 58.0%
Dimir Tempo 5 35.7% 48.0%

Statistics Explanation

Statistic Description Formula
Win Rate Impact How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks)
Top Table Win Rate A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight)
Meta Trend Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period)
Confidence Factor A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). log10(Number of decks + 1)
Average Copies The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks)
Card Synergy Score Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates)
Raw Efficiency Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. (Win rate) / (Mana value)
Relative Efficiency How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value)
Performance Efficiency Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value)
Game Impact Factor A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100)
Color Differential How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. Win rate - Average win rate for same color

All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.