Kaito, Bane of Nightmares

Top Performing Decklists

Deck Creator Record Best Finish
Dimir Midrange o_danielakos 9-0 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12763156
Dimir Midrange platinum-mythic rank player 6-0 1st in Traditional Standard Ranked Decklists: April 14, 2025
Esper Pixie platinum-mythic rank player 6-0 1st in Traditional Standard Ranked Decklists: April 14, 2025
Dimir Bounce __bmj__ 5-0 1st in MTGO Standard League #8949
Dimir Bounce ingos 5-0 1st in MTGO Standard League #8949

Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)

Win Rate Impact
-5.3%
vs average deck
Top Table Win Rate
73.2%
placement-weighted
Meta Trend
+2.3%
recent vs earlier
Sample Size
176
decks
Tournament Results
59
1st place
92
top 8
Average Copies
2.6
per deck

Meta Performance Analysis

Kaito, Bane of Nightmares ranks #338 out of approximately 406 cards in raw efficiency (top 83%).

Game Impact Factor
67.00
How much this card influences game outcomes
Color Differential
+1.23%

Multi average: 67.0%

Performance compared to other Multi cards

Based on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Kaito, Bane of Nightmares is an underperforming card in the current meta.

Recommended number of copies: 1

Win Rate Timeline

Card Efficiency Analysis

Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
17.1
Win percentage points per mana invested
Relative Efficiency
0.23x
Compared to average cards of same mana value

Performance Efficiency: 8.94 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)

At 4 mana, the average win rate in the format is 72.9%. Kaito, Bane of Nightmares has a win rate of 68.4%, making it 6.2% worse than other 4-mana cards.

Top Performing Partners

Card Name Type Deck Count Win Rate 1st Places
Thought-Stalker Warlock Creature — Lizard Warlock 32 75.9% 11
Knight of Grace Creature — Human Knight 17 71.1% 8
Wilt-Leaf Liege Creature — Elf Knight 69 67.5% 17
Qarsi Revenant Creature — Vampire 5 67.1% 1
Ephara's Dispersal Instant 5 65.7% 1
Proft's Eidetic Memory Legendary Enchantment 9 65.3% 3
Meticulous Excavation Enchantment 7 65.1% 1
Phyrexian Fleshgorger Artifact Creature — Phyrexian Wurm 28 64.0% 8
Legions to Ashes Sorcery 5 63.2% 1
Mazemind Tome Artifact 23 62.1% 8

Card Synergy Analysis

Cards that perform better with Kaito, Bane of Nightmares than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.

Card Name Type Mana Decks Win Rate Together Win Rate Apart Synergy Score
Saiba Cryptomancer Creature — Moonfolk Ninja 2 17 78.0% 73.2% +4.8%
Entity Tracker Creature — Human Scout 3 13 73.8% 69.9% +4.0%
Dreams of Steel and Oil Sorcery 1 74 72.4% 69.8% +2.6%
Sunpearl Kirin Creature — Kirin 2 35 71.6% 69.1% +2.5%
Pest Control Sorcery 2 30 70.0% 68.1% +1.9%
Loran of the Third Path Legendary Creature — Human Artificer 3 35 70.0% 68.4% +1.6%
Get Out Instant 2 32 72.2% 71.2% +1.0%
Grim Bauble Artifact 1 104 70.1% 69.2% +0.9%
Blot Out Instant 3 9 71.7% 70.9% +0.8%
Overlord of the Balemurk Enchantment Creature — Avatar Horror 5 15 70.9% 70.6% +0.3%

Top Archetypes

Archetype Deck Count % of Archetype Win Rate
Dimir Midrange 2006 97.0% 50.4%
Esper Pixie 1343 86.3% 54.2%
Dimir Bounce 452 91.7% 51.8%
Unknown Archetype 9 2.9% 16.9%
Unclassified 8 3.9% 14.6%

Statistics Explanation

Statistic Description Formula
Win Rate Impact How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks)
Top Table Win Rate A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight)
Meta Trend Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period)
Confidence Factor A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). log10(Number of decks + 1)
Average Copies The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks)
Card Synergy Score Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates)
Raw Efficiency Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. (Win rate) / (Mana value)
Relative Efficiency How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value)
Performance Efficiency Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value)
Game Impact Factor A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100)
Color Differential How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. Win rate - Average win rate for same color

All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.